Daily Divergence Brief

Top model-vs-market probability gaps from trending scenarios (updated daily).

Model Yes: 55.1% · Market Yes: 25.1% · Gap: 30.0pp

Model Yes: 45.8% · Market Yes: 18.5% · Gap: 27.3pp

Model Yes: 27.3% · Market Yes: 7.5% · Gap: 19.8pp

Model Yes: 72.0% · Market Yes: 50.0% · Gap: 22.0pp

Model Yes: 54.9% · Market Yes: 75.5% · Gap: 20.6pp

Model Yes: 83.9% · Market Yes: 98.5% · Gap: 14.6pp

Model Yes: 6.3% · Market Yes: 0.4% · Gap: 5.9pp

Model Yes: 40.8% · Market Yes: 31.0% · Gap: 9.8pp